Bears Watching

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Update on these two. The trend is not your friend.

Muni debt. I found this one surprising – I thought Ukraine might have caused this to pause. Apparently I was wrong. Which is why I don’t offer financial advice.

And probably more importantly, mortgage rates. Mortgage Rates Explode Higher

Relative change (percent) and velocity are both concerning.

Housing is getting more expensive – due to input costs and now rates.

And re-fi activity just completely stopped…