Yes, that was a bear market rally.
Next question.
Yes, that was a bear market rally.
Next question.
Readers,
Financial modeling and excel are skills that I am good at. I am not sure if that is a good or bad thing.
And at times, I have posted some templates and workbooks that I find useful or use a lot. Hopefully, they will save you a bit of time.
Here is a current listing:
These are all downloadable on Gumroad at no cost.
Drop a note in the comments if there is something excel that you would like to see. No promises.
Remember, you get what you pay for…
Not saying that you should, but let’s assume that you might want to track maturity schedules as you termed out some cash – because rates on Treasury bills and notes are increasing much faster than bank rates.
You could use a little tracker like this.
At no cost. Enjoy.
This is not investment advice. This is just information that anyone who has any savings in high yield savings or money market accounts should know.
The most recent Treasury Bill auction results:
And Notes:
Look at that rate on the 26 week bill. And the 2 Year Note cracking 3%.
Marcus, you and your peers better up your game a bit.
Again, this is most definitely not investment advice.
I see a chart like this, and the value hunter in me, cannot help but see an opportunity. This fund is plumbing its all time lows.
But then I look at a chart like this, and think, well maybe all time lows when the history is only from 2010 forward, is irrelevant (maybe even dangerous) given the macro squishing that could happen if large flows / rate trends reverse (i.e. return to more normal levels).
The vast majority of interest rate history is above, not below, where we are today.
Source: Visual Capitalist
Ok, what am I missing?
The seller wants to sell me house that will cost almost $10,000 per month, and wants to rent it back for $5,000 per month.
I presume that if I do enough of these, I will make it up in volume?
Mmmmmm huhhhhh….
We Might Be Seeing the Other Side of the ‘Bullwhip Effect’
Reference: Dislocations
Update on these two. The trend is not your friend.
Muni debt. I found this one surprising – I thought Ukraine might have caused this to pause. Apparently I was wrong. Which is why I don’t offer financial advice.
And probably more importantly, mortgage rates. Mortgage Rates Explode Higher
Relative change (percent) and velocity are both concerning.
Housing is getting more expensive – due to input costs and now rates.
And re-fi activity just completely stopped…
Maybe the most important rates to be watching are mortgage rates?
Could you imagine a mortgage rate over 10%?
Look at where rates were back in 2005 – 2006 in the run up to the Financial Crisis. About double over where we are now.